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Sunday 5 February 2012, 17:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
56% 27% 17%
Home win
55.5%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
17.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 55.5% 1.80
Draw 27.3% 3.67
Panionios 17.2% 5.80

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.8% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.2% 8.95
Over 1.5 66.6% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.4% 2.99
Over 2.5 39.2% 2.55
Under 2.5 60.8% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.2% 5.21
Under 3.5 80.8% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.9% 12.71
Under 4.5 92.1% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.3% 2.42
No 58.7% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 82.8% 1.21
AEK Athens FC / Panionios 72.7% 1.37
Draw / Panionios 44.5% 2.25

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.2
7.0
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
15.3
12.4
4.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.2
8.9
3.3
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
6.2
4.5
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.4
1.7
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.