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Sunday 15 January 2012, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
43% 34% 24%
Home win
42.6%
Draw
33.7%
Away win
23.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 42.6% 2.35
Draw 33.7% 2.97
Panetolikos 23.7% 4.22

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.7% 1.21
Under 0.5 17.3% 5.77
Over 1.5 54.5% 1.84
Under 1.5 45.5% 2.20
Over 2.5 26.9% 3.72
Under 2.5 73.1% 1.37
Over 3.5 10.9% 9.21
Under 3.5 89.1% 1.12
Over 4.5 3.6% 27.51
Under 4.5 96.4% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.7% 2.88
No 65.3% 1.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 76.3% 1.31
Panionios / Panetolikos 66.3% 1.51
Draw / Panetolikos 57.4% 1.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.3
11.2
4.4
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
17.0
13.7
4.7
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
9.5
6.9
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
3.4
2.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.9
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.