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Sunday 26 February 2012, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
1–1
HT 0–0
44% 31% 25%
Home win
44.1%
Draw
31.4%
Away win
24.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 44.1% 2.27
Draw 31.4% 3.19
OFI 24.6% 4.07

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.1% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.9% 7.20
Over 1.5 61.0% 1.64
Under 1.5 39.0% 2.57
Over 2.5 33.2% 3.01
Under 2.5 66.8% 1.50
Over 3.5 14.9% 6.73
Under 3.5 85.1% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.6% 18.00
Under 4.5 94.4% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.2% 2.49
No 59.8% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 75.4% 1.33
AEK Athens FC / OFI 68.6% 1.46
Draw / OFI 55.9% 1.79

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.9
10.1
4.5
1.2
0.3
0.0
1
15.0
13.8
5.4
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
9.5
7.9
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
3.8
3.2
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.2
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: OFI goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.