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Friday 10 February 2012, 21:00 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
69% 19% 12%
Home win
69.3%
Draw
19.0%
Away win
11.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 69.3% 1.44
Draw 19.0% 5.27
AEK Athens FC 11.7% 8.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.0% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.0% 19.90
Over 1.5 82.0% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.0% 5.56
Over 2.5 59.8% 1.67
Under 2.5 40.2% 2.49
Over 3.5 37.5% 2.67
Under 3.5 62.5% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.1% 4.96
Under 4.5 79.9% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.1% 1.96
No 48.9% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 88.3% 1.13
Olympiakos Piraeus / AEK Athens FC 81.0% 1.23
Draw / AEK Athens FC 30.7% 3.26

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.0
3.2
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
9.7
9.0
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
11.6
9.6
4.0
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
8.8
7.3
3.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
5.0
4.1
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
2.3
1.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.