Skip to content
Sunday 18 March 2012, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
32% 28% 40%
Home win
32.2%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
39.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 32.2% 3.10
Draw 27.9% 3.58
Olympiakos Piraeus 39.8% 2.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.3% 11.98
Over 1.5 73.6% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.4% 3.79
Over 2.5 47.6% 2.10
Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91
Over 3.5 25.9% 3.86
Under 3.5 74.1% 1.35
Over 4.5 12.0% 8.37
Under 4.5 88.1% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.1% 1.88
No 46.9% 2.13

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 60.2% 1.66
Panathinaikos / Olympiakos Piraeus 72.1% 1.39
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 67.8% 1.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.3
9.6
7.1
3.3
1.1
0.3
1
8.4
13.3
8.6
3.9
1.3
0.4
2
5.5
7.6
5.2
2.4
0.8
0.2
3
2.2
3.1
2.1
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
0.7
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.