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Sunday 8 April 2012, 19:00 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
51% 30% 18%
Home win
51.3%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
18.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 51.3% 1.95
Draw 30.4% 3.29
Asteras Tripolis 18.3% 5.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.4% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.6% 6.85
Over 1.5 59.4% 1.68
Under 1.5 40.6% 2.47
Over 2.5 31.6% 3.16
Under 2.5 68.4% 1.46
Over 3.5 13.8% 7.23
Under 3.5 86.2% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.0% 19.85
Under 4.5 95.0% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.3% 2.76
No 63.7% 1.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 81.7% 1.22
Aris Thessalonikis / Asteras Tripolis 69.6% 1.44
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 48.7% 2.05

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.6
8.5
3.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
17.4
12.8
4.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
11.9
7.9
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
5.2
3.4
1.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
1.7
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.