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Saturday 17 March 2012, 19:30 Gipedo Astera Tripolis Full time
34% 34% 32%
Home win
34.0%
Draw
34.2%
Away win
31.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 34.0% 2.94
Draw 34.2% 2.92
AEK Athens FC 31.8% 3.15

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.0% 1.20
Under 0.5 17.0% 5.89
Over 1.5 55.2% 1.81
Under 1.5 44.8% 2.23
Over 2.5 27.5% 3.63
Under 2.5 72.5% 1.38
Over 3.5 11.2% 8.90
Under 3.5 88.8% 1.13
Over 4.5 3.8% 26.27
Under 4.5 96.2% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.5% 2.74
No 63.5% 1.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 68.2% 1.47
Asteras Tripolis / AEK Athens FC 65.8% 1.52
Draw / AEK Athens FC 66.0% 1.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.0
13.6
6.4
1.9
0.4
0.1
1
14.2
14.2
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
7.0
6.2
2.8
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
2.2
1.9
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.