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Saturday 10 March 2012, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
59% 29% 12%
Home win
58.7%
Draw
29.2%
Away win
12.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 58.7% 1.70
Draw 29.2% 3.43
Asteras Tripolis 12.1% 8.24

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.5% 1.20
Under 0.5 16.5% 6.05
Over 1.5 55.4% 1.80
Under 1.5 44.6% 2.24
Over 2.5 27.9% 3.58
Under 2.5 72.1% 1.39
Over 3.5 11.5% 8.71
Under 3.5 88.5% 1.13
Over 4.5 3.9% 25.52
Under 4.5 96.1% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 28.6% 3.49
No 71.4% 1.40

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 87.9% 1.14
PAOK / Asteras Tripolis 70.8% 1.41
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 41.3% 2.42

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.5
6.9
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
21.1
10.9
2.4
0.4
0.0
0.0
2
14.9
7.0
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
6.8
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
2.3
1.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.