Skip to content
Wednesday 18 April 2012, 19:00 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
44% 31% 25%
Home win
43.9%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
25.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 43.9% 2.28
Draw 30.7% 3.25
Atromitos 25.4% 3.94

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.1% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.9% 7.78
Over 1.5 63.2% 1.58
Under 1.5 36.8% 2.72
Over 2.5 35.4% 2.82
Under 2.5 64.6% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.4% 6.09
Under 3.5 83.6% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.4% 15.73
Under 4.5 93.6% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.2% 2.37
No 57.8% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 74.6% 1.34
AEK Athens FC / Atromitos 69.3% 1.44
Draw / Atromitos 56.1% 1.78

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.9
9.8
4.6
1.3
0.3
0.1
1
14.2
13.9
5.7
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
9.3
8.1
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
3.8
3.4
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.2
1.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.