Skip to content
Sunday 25 March 2012, 17:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
61% 26% 12%
Home win
61.5%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
12.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 61.5% 1.63
Draw 26.1% 3.83
Panetolikos 12.4% 8.05

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.5% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.5% 8.01
Over 1.5 63.5% 1.58
Under 1.5 36.5% 2.74
Over 2.5 35.9% 2.79
Under 2.5 64.1% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.7% 5.97
Under 3.5 83.3% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.5% 15.31
Under 4.5 93.5% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.7% 2.89
No 65.3% 1.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 87.6% 1.14
AEK Athens FC / Panetolikos 73.9% 1.35
Draw / Panetolikos 38.5% 2.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.5
6.0
1.9
0.4
0.0
0.0
1
18.0
11.1
2.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
14.6
8.2
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
7.7
4.3
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
3.0
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.