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Monday 7 May 2012, 20:00 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
29% 30% 41%
Home win
28.7%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
41.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 28.7% 3.49
Draw 30.0% 3.33
Panathinaikos 41.3% 2.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.85
Over 1.5 66.6% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.4% 2.99
Over 2.5 39.1% 2.56
Under 2.5 60.9% 1.64
Over 3.5 19.1% 5.23
Under 3.5 80.9% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.8% 12.77
Under 4.5 92.2% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.9% 2.18
No 54.1% 1.85

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 58.7% 1.70
AEK Athens FC / Panathinaikos 70.0% 1.43
Draw / Panathinaikos 71.3% 1.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
12.4
8.3
3.5
1.1
0.3
1
9.7
14.0
8.3
3.5
1.1
0.3
2
5.2
6.6
4.1
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
1.7
2.2
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.