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Wednesday 2 May 2012, 20:00 Stadio Toumbas Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
53% 27% 20%
Home win
52.8%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
19.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 52.8% 1.89
Draw 27.3% 3.66
AEK Athens FC 19.8% 5.05

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.8% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.2% 9.81
Over 1.5 68.9% 1.45
Under 1.5 31.1% 3.22
Over 2.5 41.9% 2.39
Under 2.5 58.1% 1.72
Over 3.5 21.2% 4.71
Under 3.5 78.8% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.1% 11.04
Under 4.5 90.9% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.9% 2.22
No 55.1% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 80.2% 1.25
PAOK / AEK Athens FC 72.7% 1.38
Draw / AEK Athens FC 47.2% 2.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.2
7.2
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
13.7
12.7
5.0
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
11.0
9.2
3.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
5.6
4.7
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.1
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.