Skip to content
Wednesday 18 April 2012, 19:00 Stadio Toumbas Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
77% 19% 5%
Home win
76.9%
Draw
18.5%
Away win
4.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 76.9% 1.30
Draw 18.5% 5.40
Doxa Dramas 4.6% 21.63

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.26
Over 1.5 66.4% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.6% 2.98
Over 2.5 39.4% 2.54
Under 2.5 60.6% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.3% 5.18
Under 3.5 80.7% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.9% 12.61
Under 4.5 92.1% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 23.3% 4.29
No 76.7% 1.30

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 95.4% 1.05
PAOK / Doxa Dramas 81.5% 1.23
Draw / Doxa Dramas 23.1% 4.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
2.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
19.9
6.7
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
19.8
6.2
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
12.9
4.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
6.3
2.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
2.5
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Doxa Dramas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.