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Sunday 18 March 2012, 15:00 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
56% 33% 11%
Home win
55.7%
Draw
32.9%
Away win
11.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 55.7% 1.80
Draw 32.9% 3.04
Doxa Dramas 11.4% 8.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 78.2% 1.28
Under 0.5 21.8% 4.59
Over 1.5 46.4% 2.15
Under 1.5 53.6% 1.87
Over 2.5 20.4% 4.91
Under 2.5 79.6% 1.26
Over 3.5 7.2% 13.89
Under 3.5 92.8% 1.08
Over 4.5 2.1% 47.60
Under 4.5 97.9% 1.02

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 22.3% 4.48
No 77.7% 1.29

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 88.6% 1.13
Panionios / Doxa Dramas 67.1% 1.49
Draw / Doxa Dramas 44.3% 2.26

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
21.8
7.5
1.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
24.3
10.0
1.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
14.5
5.5
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
5.7
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Doxa Dramas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.