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Sunday 22 April 2012, 19:00 Kaftanzoglio Stadio Full time
14% 33% 53%
Home win
14.3%
Draw
32.8%
Away win
52.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Doxa Dramas 14.3% 6.97
Draw 32.8% 3.05
AEK Athens FC 52.9% 1.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 80.2% 1.25
Under 0.5 19.8% 5.04
Over 1.5 49.8% 2.01
Under 1.5 50.2% 1.99
Over 2.5 23.0% 4.35
Under 2.5 77.0% 1.30
Over 3.5 8.6% 11.63
Under 3.5 91.4% 1.09
Over 4.5 2.7% 37.62
Under 4.5 97.3% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 26.8% 3.73
No 73.2% 1.37

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Doxa Dramas / Draw 47.1% 2.12
Doxa Dramas / AEK Athens FC 67.2% 1.49
Draw / AEK Athens FC 85.7% 1.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
19.8
21.9
13.2
5.2
1.5
0.4
1
8.5
11.4
6.3
2.5
0.7
0.2
2
2.2
2.6
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
3
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Doxa Dramas goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.