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Thursday 10 May 2012, 17:45 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
41% 33% 26%
Home win
40.8%
Draw
33.1%
Away win
26.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 40.8% 2.45
Draw 33.1% 3.02
Atromitos 26.1% 3.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.0% 1.19
Under 0.5 16.0% 6.26
Over 1.5 57.0% 1.76
Under 1.5 43.0% 2.32
Over 2.5 29.2% 3.42
Under 2.5 70.8% 1.41
Over 3.5 12.3% 8.15
Under 3.5 87.7% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.3% 23.34
Under 4.5 95.7% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.3% 2.68
No 62.7% 1.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 73.9% 1.35
AEK Athens FC / Atromitos 66.9% 1.50
Draw / Atromitos 59.2% 1.69

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.0
11.4
4.9
1.3
0.3
0.0
1
15.6
14.0
5.3
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
8.9
7.1
2.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
3.2
2.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.