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Wednesday 16 May 2012, 17:45 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
32% 31% 37%
Home win
31.5%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
37.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 31.5% 3.17
Draw 31.3% 3.20
Panathinaikos 37.2% 2.69

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.3% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.7% 7.85
Over 1.5 63.5% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.5% 2.74
Over 2.5 35.7% 2.80
Under 2.5 64.3% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.6% 6.02
Under 3.5 83.4% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.5% 15.46
Under 4.5 93.5% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.5% 2.30
No 56.5% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 62.8% 1.59
Atromitos / Panathinaikos 68.7% 1.46
Draw / Panathinaikos 68.5% 1.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.7
12.5
7.5
2.8
0.8
0.2
1
11.2
14.3
7.5
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
6.1
6.8
3.8
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
2.0
2.3
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.