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Sunday 13 May 2012, 17:00 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
42% 32% 26%
Home win
41.8%
Draw
31.9%
Away win
26.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 41.8% 2.39
Draw 31.9% 3.14
AEK Athens FC 26.3% 3.80

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.8% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.2% 7.05
Over 1.5 60.5% 1.65
Under 1.5 39.5% 2.53
Over 2.5 32.6% 3.06
Under 2.5 67.4% 1.48
Over 3.5 14.5% 6.90
Under 3.5 85.5% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.4% 18.64
Under 4.5 94.6% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.2% 2.49
No 59.8% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 73.7% 1.36
Atromitos / AEK Athens FC 68.1% 1.47
Draw / AEK Athens FC 58.2% 1.72

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.2
10.7
4.9
1.4
0.3
0.1
1
14.7
14.0
5.7
1.6
0.3
0.1
2
8.9
7.6
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
3.4
2.9
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.