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Wednesday 16 May 2012, 20:00 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
38% 30% 32%
Home win
37.8%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
31.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 37.8% 2.64
Draw 30.3% 3.30
PAOK 31.8% 3.14

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.6% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.4% 8.75
Over 1.5 66.3% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.7% 2.97
Over 2.5 38.8% 2.58
Under 2.5 61.2% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.9% 5.30
Under 3.5 81.1% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.7% 12.98
Under 4.5 92.3% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.1% 2.17
No 53.9% 1.86

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 68.2% 1.47
AEK Athens FC / PAOK 69.7% 1.44
Draw / PAOK 62.2% 1.61

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.4
10.5
6.0
2.1
0.6
0.1
1
11.8
14.1
7.1
2.5
0.7
0.1
2
7.4
7.9
4.2
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
2.9
3.1
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.9
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.