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Sunday 16 September 2012, 18:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
54% 28% 18%
Home win
53.6%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
18.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 53.6% 1.86
Draw 28.0% 3.58
Asteras Tripolis 18.4% 5.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.5% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.5% 8.67
Over 1.5 65.9% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.1% 2.93
Over 2.5 38.4% 2.60
Under 2.5 61.6% 1.62
Over 3.5 18.6% 5.39
Under 3.5 81.4% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.5% 13.30
Under 4.5 92.5% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.5% 2.41
No 58.5% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 81.6% 1.23
PAOK / Asteras Tripolis 72.0% 1.39
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 46.4% 2.16

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.5
7.4
3.1
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
15.2
12.7
4.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.7
8.8
3.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
5.8
4.3
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.1
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.