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Saturday 25 August 2012, 19:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
53% 28% 19%
Home win
53.0%
Draw
28.3%
Away win
18.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 53.0% 1.89
Draw 28.3% 3.54
Asteras Tripolis 18.7% 5.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.2% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.8% 8.48
Over 1.5 65.3% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.7% 2.88
Over 2.5 37.8% 2.65
Under 2.5 62.2% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.1% 5.53
Under 3.5 81.9% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.3% 13.77
Under 4.5 92.7% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.2% 2.43
No 58.8% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 81.3% 1.23
AEK Athens FC / Asteras Tripolis 71.7% 1.39
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 47.0% 2.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.8
7.6
3.1
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
15.3
12.8
4.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.6
8.7
3.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
5.6
4.2
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.0
1.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.