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Saturday 22 September 2012, 19:30 SKODA Xanthi Arena Full time
0–3
HT 0–1
32% 32% 36%
Home win
31.8%
Draw
32.3%
Away win
35.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC 31.8% 3.15
Draw 32.3% 3.09
PAOK 35.9% 2.78

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.8% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.2% 7.05
Over 1.5 60.5% 1.65
Under 1.5 39.5% 2.53
Over 2.5 32.7% 3.06
Under 2.5 67.3% 1.49
Over 3.5 14.5% 6.89
Under 3.5 85.5% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.4% 18.60
Under 4.5 94.6% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.0% 2.44
No 59.0% 1.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC / Draw 64.1% 1.56
Xanthi FC / PAOK 67.7% 1.48
Draw / PAOK 68.2% 1.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.2
13.2
7.3
2.5
0.7
0.1
1
12.1
14.3
7.1
2.5
0.6
0.1
2
6.2
6.5
3.4
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
2.0
2.1
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Xanthi FC goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.