Skip to content
Saturday 20 October 2012, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
56% 27% 17%
Home win
55.6%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
17.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 55.6% 1.80
Draw 27.1% 3.69
AEK Athens FC 17.3% 5.79

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.9% 9.14
Over 1.5 67.1% 1.49
Under 1.5 32.9% 3.04
Over 2.5 39.8% 2.51
Under 2.5 60.2% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.6% 5.09
Under 3.5 80.4% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.1% 12.30
Under 4.5 91.9% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.8% 2.39
No 58.2% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 82.7% 1.21
PAOK / AEK Athens FC 72.9% 1.37
Draw / AEK Athens FC 44.4% 2.25

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.9
6.9
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
15.0
12.4
4.3
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
12.1
9.0
3.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
6.2
4.6
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.4
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.