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Sunday 7 October 2012, 18:15 SKODA Xanthi Arena Full time
24% 31% 45%
Home win
24.0%
Draw
30.8%
Away win
45.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC 24.0% 4.17
Draw 30.8% 3.25
Panathinaikos 45.2% 2.21

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.7% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.3% 7.54
Over 1.5 62.3% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.7% 2.65
Over 2.5 34.5% 2.90
Under 2.5 65.5% 1.53
Over 3.5 15.8% 6.34
Under 3.5 84.2% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.0% 16.59
Under 4.5 94.0% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.1% 2.43
No 58.9% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC / Draw 54.8% 1.82
Xanthi FC / Panathinaikos 69.2% 1.45
Draw / Panathinaikos 76.0% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.3
14.8
9.7
4.0
1.3
0.3
1
9.6
13.8
8.1
3.4
1.1
0.3
2
4.3
5.4
3.4
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
1.2
1.5
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Xanthi FC goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.