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Friday 31 August 2012, 21:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
67% 22% 10%
Home win
67.2%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
10.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 67.2% 1.49
Draw 22.4% 4.46
PAS Giannina 10.4% 9.65

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.4% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.6% 10.46
Over 1.5 69.9% 1.43
Under 1.5 30.1% 3.32
Over 2.5 43.3% 2.31
Under 2.5 56.7% 1.76
Over 3.5 22.3% 4.48
Under 3.5 77.7% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.7% 10.31
Under 4.5 90.3% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.3% 2.68
No 62.7% 1.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 89.6% 1.12
Panathinaikos / PAS Giannina 77.6% 1.29
Draw / PAS Giannina 32.8% 3.05

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.6
4.6
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
15.9
10.1
2.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
15.1
8.7
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
9.2
5.3
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
4.2
2.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.6
0.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.