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Saturday 15 September 2012, 17:15 OPAP-Dimotiko Gipedo Komotinis Full time
Panthrakikos
1–0
HT 0–0
Panathinaikos
16% 32% 53%
Home win
15.7%
Draw
31.6%
Away win
52.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panthrakikos 15.7% 6.35 — —
Draw 31.6% 3.17 — —
Panathinaikos 52.7% 1.90 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.6% 1.21 — —
Under 0.5 17.4% 5.74 — —
Over 1.5 54.0% 1.85 — —
Under 1.5 46.0% 2.18 — —
Over 2.5 26.6% 3.76 — —
Under 2.5 73.4% 1.36 — —
Over 3.5 10.7% 9.36 — —
Under 3.5 89.3% 1.12 — —
Over 4.5 3.6% 28.13 — —
Under 4.5 96.4% 1.04 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 30.7% 3.26 — —
No 69.3% 1.44 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panthrakikos / Draw 47.3% 2.11 — —
Panthrakikos / Panathinaikos 68.5% 1.46 — —
Draw / Panathinaikos 84.3% 1.19 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.4
20.1
12.9
5.3
1.6
0.4
1
8.5
12.1
7.0
2.9
0.9
0.2
2
2.5
3.1
1.9
0.8
0.2
0.1
3
0.5
0.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panthrakikos goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Panthrakikos
L L
Panathinaikos
W W W W D

Head to head

Apr 2016 Panathinaikos 6-1 Panthrakikos Dec 2015 Panthrakikos 1-0 Panathinaikos Apr 2015 Panthrakikos 2-1 Panathinaikos Dec 2014 Panathinaikos 4-0 Panthrakikos Feb 2014 Panthrakikos 0-2 Panathinaikos Oct 2013 Panathinaikos 1-2 Panthrakikos

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.