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Monday 24 September 2012, 20:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
52% 31% 18%
Home win
51.5%
Draw
31.0%
Away win
17.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 51.5% 1.94
Draw 31.0% 3.23
Atromitos 17.5% 5.70

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.3% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.7% 6.36
Over 1.5 57.2% 1.75
Under 1.5 42.8% 2.34
Over 2.5 29.5% 3.39
Under 2.5 70.5% 1.42
Over 3.5 12.5% 8.02
Under 3.5 87.5% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.4% 22.85
Under 4.5 95.6% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.1% 2.93
No 65.9% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 82.5% 1.21
Panathinaikos / Atromitos 69.0% 1.45
Draw / Atromitos 48.5% 2.06

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.7
8.7
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
18.4
12.6
3.7
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
12.1
7.6
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
5.1
3.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
1.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.