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Sunday 25 November 2012, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
24% 28% 49%
Home win
23.5%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
48.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 23.5% 4.25
Draw 27.9% 3.58
Olympiakos Piraeus 48.6% 2.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.3% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.7% 10.26
Over 1.5 70.1% 1.43
Under 1.5 29.9% 3.34
Over 2.5 43.2% 2.31
Under 2.5 56.8% 1.76
Over 3.5 22.3% 4.48
Under 3.5 77.7% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.7% 10.32
Under 4.5 90.3% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.7% 2.10
No 52.3% 1.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 51.4% 1.94
PAOK / Olympiakos Piraeus 72.1% 1.39
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 76.5% 1.31

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.7
12.4
9.7
4.7
1.7
0.5
1
7.7
13.2
9.1
4.5
1.6
0.5
2
4.0
5.9
4.3
2.1
0.8
0.2
3
1.3
1.8
1.3
0.7
0.2
0.1
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.