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Monday 29 October 2012, 19:30 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
11% 22% 67%
Home win
10.9%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
67.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 10.9% 9.19
Draw 22.0% 4.55
Olympiakos Piraeus 67.1% 1.49

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.4% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.6% 11.57
Over 1.5 72.2% 1.39
Under 1.5 27.8% 3.60
Over 2.5 46.1% 2.17
Under 2.5 53.9% 1.85
Over 3.5 24.6% 4.06
Under 3.5 75.4% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.1% 9.00
Under 4.5 88.9% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.0% 2.50
No 60.0% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 32.9% 3.04
Aris Thessalonikis / Olympiakos Piraeus 78.0% 1.28
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 89.1% 1.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.6
14.7
14.5
9.1
4.3
1.6
1
4.5
10.1
9.0
5.7
2.7
1.0
2
1.6
3.0
2.8
1.8
0.8
0.3
3
0.3
0.6
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.