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Saturday 29 September 2012, 19:30 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
22% 31% 47%
Home win
22.2%
Draw
30.6%
Away win
47.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 22.2% 4.50
Draw 30.6% 3.27
Olympiakos Piraeus 47.2% 2.12

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.5% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.5% 7.42
Over 1.5 61.8% 1.62
Under 1.5 38.2% 2.62
Over 2.5 34.0% 2.94
Under 2.5 66.0% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.4% 6.48
Under 3.5 84.6% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.8% 17.11
Under 4.5 94.2% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.0% 2.50
No 60.0% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 52.8% 1.89
Atromitos / Olympiakos Piraeus 69.4% 1.44
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 77.8% 1.29

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.5
15.4
10.3
4.4
1.4
0.4
1
9.2
13.5
8.1
3.5
1.1
0.3
2
3.9
5.0
3.2
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
1.0
1.3
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.