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Sunday 7 October 2012, 20:30 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
78% 16% 6%
Home win
78.0%
Draw
15.7%
Away win
6.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 78.0% 1.28
Draw 15.7% 6.39
Asteras Tripolis 6.4% 15.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.89
Over 1.5 79.9% 1.25
Under 1.5 20.1% 4.98
Over 2.5 56.8% 1.76
Under 2.5 43.2% 2.32
Over 3.5 34.4% 2.91
Under 3.5 65.6% 1.52
Over 4.5 17.8% 5.61
Under 4.5 82.2% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.3% 2.54
No 60.7% 1.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 93.6% 1.07
Olympiakos Piraeus / Asteras Tripolis 84.3% 1.19
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 22.0% 4.54

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
2.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
12.0
7.4
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
14.9
8.3
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
12.0
6.7
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
7.2
4.0
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
3.5
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.