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Sunday 8 November 2015, 17:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
3–3
HT 1–2
73% 18% 9%
Home win
72.6%
Draw
18.2%
Away win
9.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 72.6% 1.38
Draw 18.2% 5.48
Panthrakikos 9.2% 10.88

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 17.01
Over 1.5 79.4% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.6% 4.85
Over 2.5 55.9% 1.79
Under 2.5 44.1% 2.27
Over 3.5 33.5% 2.98
Under 3.5 66.5% 1.50
Over 4.5 17.2% 5.83
Under 4.5 82.8% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.5% 2.25
No 55.5% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 90.8% 1.10
PAOK / Panthrakikos 81.8% 1.22
Draw / Panthrakikos 27.4% 3.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
3.2
1.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
11.6
8.7
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
13.6
9.2
3.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
10.2
6.9
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
5.7
3.9
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
2.6
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Panthrakikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.