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Sunday 25 October 2015, 18:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
3–1
HT 3–0
40% 29% 32%
Home win
39.7%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
31.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 39.7% 2.52
Draw 28.5% 3.51
Panathinaikos 31.8% 3.15

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.9% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.1% 10.98
Over 1.5 71.7% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.3% 3.54
Over 2.5 45.2% 2.21
Under 2.5 54.8% 1.83
Over 3.5 23.9% 4.18
Under 3.5 76.1% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.7% 9.37
Under 4.5 89.3% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.2% 1.95
No 48.8% 2.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 68.2% 1.47
PAOK / Panathinaikos 71.5% 1.40
Draw / Panathinaikos 60.3% 1.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.1
8.9
5.6
2.2
0.6
0.1
1
10.3
13.6
7.4
2.9
0.8
0.2
2
7.3
8.5
4.9
1.9
0.6
0.1
3
3.2
3.7
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.1
4
1.1
1.2
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.