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Sunday 23 February 2014, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
3–0
HT 0–0
70% 19% 11%
Home win
69.9%
Draw
19.4%
Away win
10.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 69.9% 1.43
Draw 19.4% 5.15
Panthrakikos 10.7% 9.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.0% 1.06
Under 0.5 6.0% 16.58
Over 1.5 79.0% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.0% 4.77
Over 2.5 55.4% 1.81
Under 2.5 44.6% 2.24
Over 3.5 33.0% 3.03
Under 3.5 67.0% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.8% 5.95
Under 4.5 83.2% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.5% 2.15
No 53.5% 1.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 89.3% 1.12
PAOK / Panthrakikos 80.6% 1.24
Draw / Panthrakikos 30.1% 3.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.0
3.5
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
11.4
9.3
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
12.9
9.5
3.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
9.4
6.8
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
5.1
3.7
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
2.2
1.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Panthrakikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.