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Sunday 9 February 2014, 19:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
41% 30% 29%
Home win
41.3%
Draw
29.5%
Away win
29.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 41.3% 2.42
Draw 29.5% 3.38
PAOK 29.2% 3.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.4% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.6% 9.39
Over 1.5 68.1% 1.47
Under 1.5 31.9% 3.13
Over 2.5 40.8% 2.45
Under 2.5 59.2% 1.69
Over 3.5 20.4% 4.90
Under 3.5 79.6% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.6% 11.67
Under 4.5 91.4% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.4% 2.11
No 52.6% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 70.9% 1.41
Panathinaikos / PAOK 70.5% 1.42
Draw / PAOK 58.7% 1.70

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.6
9.4
5.3
1.8
0.5
0.1
1
11.9
13.9
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
8.1
8.4
4.3
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
3.5
3.6
1.9
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
1.1
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.