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Monday 26 November 2012, 19:30 OPAP-Dimotiko Gipedo Komotinis Full time
40% 32% 28%
Home win
40.3%
Draw
32.0%
Away win
27.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panthrakikos 40.3% 2.48
Draw 32.0% 3.13
Aris Thessalonikis 27.7% 3.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.9% 1.16
Under 0.5 14.1% 7.09
Over 1.5 60.7% 1.65
Under 1.5 39.3% 2.54
Over 2.5 32.8% 3.05
Under 2.5 67.2% 1.49
Over 3.5 14.6% 6.85
Under 3.5 85.4% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.4% 18.43
Under 4.5 94.6% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.6% 2.46
No 59.4% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panthrakikos / Draw 72.3% 1.38
Panthrakikos / Aris Thessalonikis 68.0% 1.47
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 59.7% 1.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.1
11.0
5.2
1.6
0.3
0.1
1
14.2
14.1
5.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
8.5
7.5
3.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
3.2
2.8
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.9
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panthrakikos goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.