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Sunday 21 October 2012, 18:15 OPAP-Dimotiko Gipedo Komotinis Full time
50% 30% 20%
Home win
50.5%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
19.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panthrakikos 50.5% 1.98
Draw 29.9% 3.34
PAS Giannina 19.6% 5.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.5% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.5% 7.40
Over 1.5 61.7% 1.62
Under 1.5 38.3% 2.61
Over 2.5 33.9% 2.95
Under 2.5 66.1% 1.51
Over 3.5 15.4% 6.51
Under 3.5 84.6% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.8% 17.22
Under 4.5 94.2% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.7% 2.58
No 61.3% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panthrakikos / Draw 80.4% 1.24
Panthrakikos / PAS Giannina 70.1% 1.43
Draw / PAS Giannina 49.5% 2.02

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.5
8.5
3.4
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
16.3
13.1
4.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.3
8.2
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
5.0
3.7
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panthrakikos goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.