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Sunday 11 November 2012, 17:15 OPAP-Dimotiko Gipedo Komotinis Full time
28% 31% 41%
Home win
28.1%
Draw
31.2%
Away win
40.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panthrakikos 28.1% 3.56
Draw 31.2% 3.20
Asteras Tripolis 40.6% 2.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.0% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.0% 7.67
Over 1.5 62.8% 1.59
Under 1.5 37.2% 2.69
Over 2.5 35.1% 2.85
Under 2.5 65.0% 1.54
Over 3.5 16.1% 6.19
Under 3.5 83.9% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.2% 16.08
Under 4.5 93.8% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.5% 2.35
No 57.5% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panthrakikos / Draw 59.4% 1.68
Panthrakikos / Asteras Tripolis 68.8% 1.45
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 71.9% 1.39

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.0
13.6
8.4
3.3
1.0
0.2
1
10.6
14.1
7.8
3.1
0.9
0.2
2
5.3
6.2
3.6
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
1.6
1.9
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panthrakikos goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.