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Sunday 2 March 2014, 17:15 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis Full time
60% 24% 15%
Home win
60.3%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
15.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 60.3% 1.66
Draw 24.5% 4.09
Panthrakikos 15.3% 6.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.2% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.8% 11.33
Over 1.5 72.0% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.0% 3.57
Over 2.5 45.7% 2.19
Under 2.5 54.3% 1.84
Over 3.5 24.3% 4.11
Under 3.5 75.7% 1.32
Over 4.5 10.9% 9.15
Under 4.5 89.1% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.5% 2.24
No 55.5% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 84.7% 1.18
Asteras Tripolis / Panthrakikos 75.5% 1.32
Draw / Panthrakikos 39.7% 2.52

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.8
5.6
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
13.6
11.5
4.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.4
9.4
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
7.2
5.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
3.2
2.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Panthrakikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.