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Sunday 21 October 2012, 16:00 Gipedo Astera Tripolis Full time
43% 34% 24%
Home win
42.5%
Draw
33.9%
Away win
23.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 42.5% 2.35
Draw 33.9% 2.95
Veria 23.6% 4.24

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.5% 1.21
Under 0.5 17.5% 5.70
Over 1.5 54.0% 1.85
Under 1.5 46.0% 2.18
Over 2.5 26.5% 3.77
Under 2.5 73.5% 1.36
Over 3.5 10.6% 9.40
Under 3.5 89.4% 1.12
Over 4.5 3.5% 28.29
Under 4.5 96.5% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.4% 2.91
No 65.6% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 76.4% 1.31
Asteras Tripolis / Veria 66.1% 1.51
Draw / Veria 57.5% 1.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.5
11.3
4.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
17.1
13.6
4.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
9.5
6.9
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
3.4
2.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.9
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Veria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.