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Sunday 5 April 2015, 17:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
65% 20% 14%
Home win
65.4%
Draw
20.2%
Away win
14.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 65.4% 1.53
Draw 20.2% 4.96
Xanthi FC 14.4% 6.92

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.2% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.8% 20.83
Over 1.5 82.8% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.2% 5.82
Over 2.5 61.1% 1.64
Under 2.5 38.9% 2.57
Over 3.5 38.7% 2.58
Under 3.5 61.3% 1.63
Over 4.5 21.1% 4.73
Under 4.5 78.9% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.1% 1.82
No 44.9% 2.23

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 85.6% 1.17
PAOK / Xanthi FC 79.8% 1.25
Draw / Xanthi FC 34.6% 2.89

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.8
3.5
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
8.9
9.5
4.2
1.3
0.3
0.1
2
10.4
9.8
4.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
7.6
7.2
3.4
1.1
0.3
0.0
4
4.2
4.0
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
1.9
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.