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Sunday 31 May 2015, 20:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
2–0
HT 2–0
57% 25% 19%
Home win
56.5%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
18.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 56.5% 1.77
Draw 24.7% 4.05
PAOK 18.8% 5.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.5% 13.28
Over 1.5 75.4% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.6% 4.07
Over 2.5 50.1% 2.00
Under 2.5 49.9% 2.00
Over 3.5 28.1% 3.56
Under 3.5 71.9% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.4% 7.47
Under 4.5 86.6% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.4% 1.98
No 49.6% 2.02

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 81.2% 1.23
Panathinaikos / PAOK 75.3% 1.33
Draw / PAOK 43.5% 2.30

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.5
5.6
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
11.4
11.8
5.1
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
10.6
9.8
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
6.2
5.7
2.6
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
2.7
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.0
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.