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Wednesday 20 May 2015, 18:15 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis Full time
39% 30% 31%
Home win
39.5%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
30.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 39.5% 2.53
Draw 29.7% 3.37
Panathinaikos 30.8% 3.25

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.7% 9.36
Over 1.5 68.0% 1.47
Under 1.5 32.0% 3.12
Over 2.5 40.7% 2.45
Under 2.5 59.3% 1.69
Over 3.5 20.3% 4.92
Under 3.5 79.7% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.5% 11.73
Under 4.5 91.5% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.5% 2.10
No 52.5% 1.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 69.2% 1.45
Asteras Tripolis / Panathinaikos 70.3% 1.42
Draw / Panathinaikos 60.5% 1.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.7
9.8
5.7
2.0
0.5
0.1
1
11.5
14.0
7.0
2.5
0.7
0.1
2
7.7
8.2
4.4
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
3.2
3.4
1.8
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
1.0
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.