Skip to content
Saturday 4 April 2015, 19:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
57% 26% 17%
Home win
57.2%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
16.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 57.2% 1.75
Draw 25.9% 3.86
Asteras Tripolis 16.9% 5.91

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.3% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.7% 10.34
Over 1.5 70.0% 1.43
Under 1.5 30.0% 3.34
Over 2.5 43.3% 2.31
Under 2.5 56.7% 1.76
Over 3.5 22.3% 4.48
Under 3.5 77.7% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.7% 10.31
Under 4.5 90.3% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.1% 2.27
No 55.9% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 83.1% 1.20
Panathinaikos / Asteras Tripolis 74.1% 1.35
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 42.8% 2.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.7
6.3
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
14.0
12.1
4.4
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
12.0
9.3
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
6.5
5.1
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.7
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.