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Wednesday 18 March 2015, 19:30 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
39% 33% 28%
Home win
39.1%
Draw
33.2%
Away win
27.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 39.1% 2.56
Draw 33.2% 3.01
Panathinaikos 27.7% 3.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.2% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.8% 6.34
Over 1.5 57.4% 1.74
Under 1.5 42.6% 2.35
Over 2.5 29.6% 3.38
Under 2.5 70.4% 1.42
Over 3.5 12.5% 7.99
Under 3.5 87.5% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.4% 22.74
Under 4.5 95.6% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.9% 2.64
No 62.1% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 72.3% 1.38
Atromitos / Panathinaikos 66.8% 1.50
Draw / Panathinaikos 60.9% 1.64

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.8
11.8
5.3
1.5
0.3
0.1
1
15.0
14.1
5.6
1.6
0.3
0.1
2
8.4
7.0
3.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
2.9
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.