Sunday 22 March 2015, 17:15
Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis
Full time
69%
20%
11%
Home win
69.0%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
11.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.9% | 5.04 | — | — |
| Ergotelis | 11.1% | 8.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.2% | 16.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.4% | 4.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.4% | 6.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
| No | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis / Draw | 88.9% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Asteras Tripolis / Ergotelis | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Ergotelis | 31.0% | 3.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.2
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.5
|
9.5
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.9
|
9.5
|
3.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.1
|
6.8
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.9
|
3.6
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.1
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Nov 2014
Ergotelis
1-4
Asteras Tripolis
Mar 2014
Asteras Tripolis
2-3
Ergotelis
Nov 2013
Ergotelis
0-1
Asteras Tripolis
Mar 2012
Asteras Tripolis
3-0
Ergotelis
Oct 2011
Ergotelis
2-0
Asteras Tripolis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.