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Saturday 7 March 2015, 15:00 Stadio Verias Full time
0–1
HT 0–1
55% 24% 21%
Home win
55.3%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
20.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Veria 55.3% 1.81
Draw 23.8% 4.20
Ergotelis 20.9% 4.79

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.0% 1.06
Under 0.5 6.0% 16.73
Over 1.5 79.7% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.3% 4.92
Over 2.5 56.1% 1.78
Under 2.5 43.9% 2.28
Over 3.5 33.7% 2.97
Under 3.5 66.3% 1.51
Over 4.5 17.3% 5.78
Under 4.5 82.7% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.1% 1.78
No 43.9% 2.28

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Veria / Draw 79.1% 1.26
Veria / Ergotelis 76.2% 1.31
Draw / Ergotelis 44.7% 2.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.0
5.1
3.0
1.1
0.3
0.1
1
9.3
11.3
5.7
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
9.3
9.9
5.3
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
5.7
6.1
3.3
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
2.7
2.9
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.0
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Veria goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.