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Monday 28 September 2015, 19:30 Stadio Verias Full time
39% 30% 31%
Home win
39.3%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
30.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Veria 39.3% 2.54
Draw 29.8% 3.35
AEK Athens FC 30.8% 3.24

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.24
Over 1.5 67.7% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.3% 3.10
Over 2.5 40.4% 2.48
Under 2.5 59.6% 1.68
Over 3.5 20.1% 4.98
Under 3.5 79.9% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.4% 11.94
Under 4.5 91.6% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.3% 2.12
No 52.7% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Veria / Draw 69.2% 1.45
Veria / AEK Athens FC 70.2% 1.42
Draw / AEK Athens FC 60.7% 1.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
9.9
5.7
2.0
0.5
0.1
1
11.6
14.0
7.0
2.5
0.7
0.1
2
7.7
8.1
4.3
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
3.2
3.4
1.8
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
1.0
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Veria goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.