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Sunday 18 November 2012, 17:15 Stadio Verias Full time
30% 35% 35%
Home win
30.2%
Draw
35.3%
Away win
34.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Veria 30.2% 3.31
Draw 35.3% 2.84
AEK Athens FC 34.6% 2.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 81.4% 1.23
Under 0.5 18.6% 5.39
Over 1.5 52.3% 1.91
Under 1.5 47.7% 2.10
Over 2.5 25.0% 4.00
Under 2.5 75.0% 1.33
Over 3.5 9.7% 10.27
Under 3.5 90.3% 1.11
Over 4.5 3.1% 31.83
Under 4.5 96.9% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.2% 2.92
No 65.8% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Veria / Draw 65.4% 1.53
Veria / AEK Athens FC 64.7% 1.54
Draw / AEK Athens FC 69.8% 1.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
18.6
15.3
7.2
2.2
0.5
0.1
1
13.9
14.0
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
6.0
5.5
2.5
0.7
0.2
0.0
3
1.7
1.5
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Veria goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.