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Saturday 10 November 2012, 17:15 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
45% 34% 21%
Home win
45.1%
Draw
34.2%
Away win
20.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 45.1% 2.22
Draw 34.2% 2.93
Veria 20.8% 4.81

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 81.2% 1.23
Under 0.5 18.8% 5.32
Over 1.5 51.8% 1.93
Under 1.5 48.2% 2.07
Over 2.5 24.6% 4.07
Under 2.5 75.4% 1.33
Over 3.5 9.5% 10.53
Under 3.5 90.5% 1.10
Over 4.5 3.0% 32.94
Under 4.5 97.0% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 31.7% 3.15
No 68.3% 1.47

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 79.2% 1.26
OFI / Veria 65.8% 1.52
Draw / Veria 54.9% 1.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
18.8
10.7
3.7
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
18.7
13.1
3.9
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
10.4
6.6
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
3.7
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Veria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.